Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Zegras 39.2% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Zegras 65.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 93.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 80.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Lowry
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Lowry
Zegras
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
1
Lowry
Zegras
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
3
Lowry
Zegras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
7
Lowry
Zegras
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
38.6% (1,669)
+14.2%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
38.5% (148)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
28.6% (7)
+16.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Zegras is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
Lowry
Zegras
Home
53.5% (5,893)
39.9% (882)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Lowry
Zegras
P1
51.5%
40.2%
P2
51.8%
38.0%
P3
51.4%
37.7%
OT
46.3%
31.6%
Final 5 min
52.9%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 14:23 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 13:28 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 14:15 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 05:54 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:32 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:53 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:58 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |