Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Zegras 43.3% (+10.6%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 66.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 86.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Lowry
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
39.8% (128)
+9.5%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
22.2% (9)
+45.5%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
0.0% (1)
+42.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Lowry
Zegras
Home
50.2% (671)
29.7% (74)
Away
47.8% (709)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Lowry
Zegras
P1
48.4%
40.7%
P2
50.1%
35.1%
P3
47.8%
41.0%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%