Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Zegras 41.5% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 75.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 85.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 64.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Lowry
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lowry
Zegras
Last 6: Lowry 3-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
3
Lowry
Zegras
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
39.4% (510)
+16.4%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
47.1% (34)
+7.6%
On even strength, Lowry has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Lowry
Zegras
Home
53.4% (515)
42.3% (272)
Away
52.6% (549)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Lowry
Zegras
P1
54.2%
37.6%
P2
54.4%
41.5%
P3
50.8%
40.8%
OT
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 08:04 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 08:44 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 01:30 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 01:01 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |