Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +23.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Zegras 35.4% (+23.6%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 75.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 87.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 66.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Lowry
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
29.6% (230)
+25.8%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
32.1% (56)
+51.2%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
100.0% (1)
-59.6%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +59.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Lowry
Zegras
Home
54.5% (402)
30.6% (147)
Away
53.3% (368)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Lowry
Zegras
P1
52.4%
33.0%
P2
56.0%
31.7%
P3
54.2%
25.6%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.1%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%