Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Zegras 42.6% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Zegras 56.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 89.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 77.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Lowry
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Lowry
Zegras
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Zegras
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
3
Lowry
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
7
4
Lowry
Zegras
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
41.1% (559)
+11.6%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
50.0% (12)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
50.0% (2)
-10.0%
On even strength, Lowry has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Lowry
Zegras
Home
52.4% (597)
45.7% (247)
Away
48.4% (583)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Lowry
Zegras
P1
48.5%
45.5%
P2
52.2%
36.8%
P3
50.5%
41.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 14:23 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 13:28 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 14:15 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 05:54 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:32 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:53 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:58 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |