Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.8% vs Johnson 51.8% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 66.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 74.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 58.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Lowry
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lowry
Johnson
Last 5: Lowry 1-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Lowry
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Lowry
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (936)
51.2% (825)
+0.2%
Power Play
54.1% (85)
56.9% (160)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (274)
51.1% (137)
-3.3%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Lowry is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (467).
Lowry shoots left. Johnson is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Home / Away
Lowry
Johnson
Home
52.9% (680)
56.9% (583)
Away
48.5% (615)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Lowry
Johnson
P1
51.5%
55.1%
P2
51.5%
53.0%
P3
49.3%
48.8%
OT
60.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 10:43 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |