Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 51.3%). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Johnson 50.7% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 79.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 89.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 58.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 89.5%
89.5%
10.5%
Lowry
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lowry
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
47.4% (78)
+5.3%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
57.6% (33)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
100.0% (2)
-60.0%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Johnson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Lowry
Johnson
Home
52.4% (597)
50.9% (57)
Away
48.4% (583)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Lowry
Johnson
P1
48.5%
44.1%
P2
52.2%
59.4%
P3
50.5%
52.3%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |