Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Johnson 51.4% (-11.8%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 67.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 78.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 59.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Lowry
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
63.6% (11)
-9.9%
On even strength, Johnson has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Lowry is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Lowry shoots left. Johnson is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Lowry
Johnson
Home
53.0% (583)
62.5% (8)
Away
50.6% (605)
66.7% (3)
By Period
Lowry
Johnson
P2
51.8%
85.7%
P3
52.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
63.6%