Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Johnson 53.6% (-7.8%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 69.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 79.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 57.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Lowry
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
61.9% (42)
-6.1%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
55.6% (9)
-0.9%
On even strength, Johnson has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Lowry
Johnson
Home
53.4% (515)
52.0% (25)
Away
52.6% (549)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Lowry
Johnson
P1
54.2%
72.0%
P2
54.4%
66.7%
P3
50.8%
27.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%