Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Johnson 45.7% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 54.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 82.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 68.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Lowry
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Lowry
Johnson
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
2
Lowry
Johnson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
44.6% (285)
+4.7%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
46.7% (60)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
16.7% (6)
+25.9%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Lowry
Johnson
Home
50.2% (671)
50.8% (179)
Away
47.8% (709)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Lowry
Johnson
P1
48.4%
41.3%
P2
50.1%
41.8%
P3
47.8%
49.6%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 2 | 14:09 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 10:46 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 03:47 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |