Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 42 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Seguin 53.6% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 55-55 in 110 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 67.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 73.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 53.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Lowry
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
55
-
55
(110 meetings)
55
55
Lowry
Seguin
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
13
29
Lowry
Seguin
42 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
26
11
Lowry
Seguin
37 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
16
15
Lowry
Seguin
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
53.7% (8,071)
-0.9%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
55.9% (810)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
49.3% (762)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Lowry
Seguin
Home
53.5% (5,893)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Lowry
Seguin
P1
51.5%
52.8%
P2
51.8%
53.3%
P3
51.4%
54.7%
OT
46.3%
54.7%
Final 5 min
52.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 11:56 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 13:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 07:03 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 19:07 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |