Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Seguin 55.4% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 60.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 78.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 51.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Lowry
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lowry
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Lowry
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
56.9% (478)
-7.6%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
57.4% (54)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
51.3% (76)
-8.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Lowry
Seguin
Home
50.2% (671)
57.4% (317)
Away
47.8% (709)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Lowry
Seguin
P1
48.4%
50.3%
P2
50.1%
60.4%
P3
47.8%
58.0%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |