Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Seguin 54.2% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 64.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 76.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 64.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Lowry
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Lowry
Seguin
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
5
Lowry
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
1
Lowry
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
55.0% (713)
-2.3%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
56.7% (104)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
47.2% (53)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Lowry
Seguin
Home
52.4% (597)
56.2% (443)
Away
48.4% (583)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Lowry
Seguin
P1
48.5%
54.2%
P2
52.2%
52.9%
P3
50.5%
57.1%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 07:03 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 19:07 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 05:56 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 09:49 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |