Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Seguin 51.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 67.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 79.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 53.9%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Lowry
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lowry
Seguin
Last 7: Lowry 4-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Lowry
Seguin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
54.8% (135)
-1.1%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
58.3% (24)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
26.7% (15)
+16.0%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Lowry is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Lowry shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Lowry
Seguin
Home
53.0% (583)
47.4% (95)
Away
50.6% (605)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Lowry
Seguin
P1
52.1%
50.8%
P2
51.8%
57.1%
P3
52.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
53.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 11:56 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 13:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |