Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 51.0%). Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.8% vs Seguin 50.9% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 58.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 68.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 53.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Lowry
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
7
(22 meetings)
15
7
Lowry
Seguin
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
5
Lowry
Seguin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
10
1
Lowry
Seguin
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
1
Lowry
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (936)
51.1% (720)
+0.3%
Power Play
54.1% (85)
54.2% (59)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (274)
14.3% (7)
+33.5%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Lowry is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (467).
Lowry shoots left. Seguin is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Lowry
Seguin
Home
52.9% (680)
52.0% (421)
Away
48.5% (615)
49.9% (365)
By Period
Lowry
Seguin
P1
51.5%
50.8%
P2
51.5%
51.3%
P3
49.3%
51.0%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 03:11 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 1 | 19:07 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 1 | 01:41 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 05:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 02:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 02:25 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 19:20 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 06:51 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 11:38 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |