Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 55.1% vs Seguin 54.5% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 54.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 51.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 53.6%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Lowry
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lowry
Seguin
Last 7: Lowry 2-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
4
Lowry
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (527)
55.1% (1,036)
+3.9%
Power Play
44.2% (43)
56.9% (174)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (101)
52.2% (230)
-7.6%
On power play, Seguin has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Lowry is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Lowry shoots left. Seguin is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (948).
Home / Away
Lowry
Seguin
Home
57.9% (330)
58.9% (703)
Away
54.0% (341)
51.0% (737)
By Period
Lowry
Seguin
P1
55.8%
54.5%
P2
55.8%
53.7%
P3
56.1%
57.0%
OT
50.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
62.2%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |