Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.3% vs Seguin 57.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 53.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 64.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 63.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Lowry
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Lowry
Seguin
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
4
Lowry
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Lowry
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (491)
59.6% (736)
-3.4%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
61.5% (65)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (140)
47.6% (124)
-4.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Lowry is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Lowry shoots left. Seguin is 59.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Lowry
Seguin
Home
57.8% (341)
60.1% (461)
Away
49.4% (308)
56.3% (464)
By Period
Lowry
Seguin
P1
53.2%
59.1%
P2
54.4%
58.9%
P3
53.0%
57.3%
OT
80.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
58.5%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 12:57 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 1 | 19:33 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |