Scouting Report
Alex Tuch holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 23.8% vs right-shot opponents — Tuch shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs Tuch 46.9% (-11.3%)
Offensive zone
Tuch 59.6%
Defensive zone
Kempe 60.0%
Neutral zone
Tuch 54.5%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Kempe
Tuch
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Tuch
Edge
Even Strength
32.7% (49)
44.1% (59)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
33.3% (6)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Tuch has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tuch shoots right. Kempe is 23.8% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Kempe shoots left. Tuch is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Kempe
Tuch
Home
11.1% (9)
46.9% (32)
Away
35.7% (42)
39.5% (43)
By Period
Kempe
Tuch
P1
22.2%
56.3%
P2
33.3%
35.5%
P3
25.0%
27.3%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
7.7%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
31.4%
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.7%