Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.5% vs 40.5%). Look for Tuch on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kempe wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Tuch shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Tuch 41.5% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 50.5%
Defensive zone
Kempe 57.3%
Neutral zone
Tuch 50.1%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Kempe
Tuch
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Kempe
Tuch
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
1
3
Kempe
Tuch
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Tuch
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
38.7% (481)
+1.5%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
43.1% (204)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
43.2% (111)
-0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tuch shoots right. Kempe is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Kempe shoots left. Tuch is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (641).
Home / Away
Kempe
Tuch
Home
42.4% (1,045)
42.1% (394)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
38.8% (402)
By Period
Kempe
Tuch
P1
39.5%
44.7%
P2
40.1%
40.6%
P3
42.2%
36.0%
OT
37.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
37.2%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |