Scouting Report
Alex Tuch holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 24.1% vs right-shot opponents — Tuch shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.7% vs Tuch 47.0% (-6.7%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 70.3%
Defensive zone
Tuch 57.0%
Neutral zone
Tuch 54.2%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Kempe
Tuch
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Tuch
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
46.3% (54)
-8.1%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
33.3% (3)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
27.3% (11)
-2.3%
On even strength, Tuch has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tuch shoots right. Kempe is 24.1% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Kempe shoots left. Tuch is 37.2% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Kempe
Tuch
Home
36.4% (66)
48.5% (33)
Away
35.5% (76)
37.1% (35)
By Period
Kempe
Tuch
P1
37.3%
33.3%
P2
36.7%
46.2%
P3
31.4%
52.9%
OT
42.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.6%