Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 49.2% vs Tuch 44.1% (+4.8%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 52.2%
Defensive zone
Tuch 72.8%
Neutral zone
Tuch 55.0%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Kempe
Tuch
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Tuch
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (17)
39.6% (111)
+7.5%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
30.8% (26)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
49.0% (51)
+51.0%
On penalty kill, Kempe has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tuch shoots right. Kempe is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Kempe shoots left. Tuch is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Kempe
Tuch
Home
38.5% (13)
47.1% (102)
Away
54.5% (11)
33.7% (86)
By Period
Kempe
Tuch
P1
33.3%
41.5%
P2
42.9%
43.3%
P3
62.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
45.8%
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%