Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 50.0% vs McDavid 53.4% (-3.7%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 50.9%
Defensive zone
McDavid 65.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 56.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Kempe
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (36)
54.3% (1,002)
-7.1%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
44.8% (29)
+33.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
33.3% (15)
-13.3%
On power play, Kempe has a +33.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Kempe is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Kempe shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Kempe
McDavid
Home
60.0% (25)
53.6% (507)
Away
40.0% (25)
53.8% (539)
By Period
Kempe
McDavid
P1
57.9%
52.6%
P2
40.0%
54.1%
P3
50.0%
54.9%
Final 5 min
30.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
50.0%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%