Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +20.5% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 36.7% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs McDavid 51.8% (-20.5%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 54.9%
Defensive zone
McDavid 68.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 54.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Kempe
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
32.7% (49)
51.5% (889)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
51.2% (86)
-51.2%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +51.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Kempe is 36.7% vs left-shot opponents (30).
Kempe shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Kempe
McDavid
Home
11.1% (9)
50.7% (513)
Away
35.7% (42)
53.2% (498)
By Period
Kempe
McDavid
P1
22.2%
52.3%
P2
33.3%
51.6%
P3
25.0%
51.7%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
7.7%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
31.4%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%