Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +28.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 46.9% vs McDavid 51.0% (-28.0%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 52.7%
Defensive zone
McDavid 73.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Kempe
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
0.0% (6)
51.6% (803)
-51.6%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
50.0% (40)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
36.4% (22)
+13.6%
On even strength, McDavid has a +51.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Kempe is 22.2% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Kempe shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Home / Away
Kempe
McDavid
Home
28.6% (7)
51.8% (415)
Away
16.7% (6)
50.4% (450)
By Period
Kempe
McDavid
P1
25.0%
47.5%
P2
50.0%
51.6%
P3
0.0%
55.5%
Final 5 min
66.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
23.1%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%