Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 49.2% vs McDavid 47.9% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 52.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 73.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 54.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Kempe
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (17)
47.7% (715)
-0.6%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
51.9% (52)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
22.2% (9)
+77.8%
On penalty kill, Kempe has a +77.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Kempe is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (14).
Kempe shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Kempe
McDavid
Home
38.5% (13)
47.3% (387)
Away
54.5% (11)
48.1% (389)
By Period
Kempe
McDavid
P1
33.3%
47.6%
P2
42.9%
50.0%
P3
62.5%
45.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
45.8%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%