Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 50.0% vs Carpenter 51.2% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 78.5%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 78.7%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 59.2%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Kempe
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (36)
53.2% (299)
-6.0%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
33.3% (3)
+44.5%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
46.5% (86)
-26.5%
On power play, Kempe has a +44.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Kempe is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (15).
Kempe shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Kempe
Carpenter
Home
60.0% (25)
54.6% (207)
Away
40.0% (25)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Kempe
Carpenter
P1
57.9%
52.3%
P2
40.0%
51.5%
P3
50.0%
50.8%
Final 5 min
30.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
50.0%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%