Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +22.6% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 23.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs Carpenter 52.2% (-22.6%)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 54.5%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 62.2%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 51.4%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Kempe
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
32.7% (49)
53.1% (113)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
60.0% (10)
-60.0%
On penalty kill, Carpenter has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Kempe is 23.8% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Kempe shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Kempe
Carpenter
Home
11.1% (9)
58.5% (65)
Away
35.7% (42)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Kempe
Carpenter
P1
22.2%
65.8%
P2
33.3%
50.0%
P3
25.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
7.7%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
31.4%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%