Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Kempe wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Carpenter 48.5% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Kempe leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 63.5%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 93.8%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 85.1%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Kempe
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Kempe
Carpenter
Last 10: Kempe 6-4 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
6
0
Kempe
Carpenter
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Kempe
Carpenter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
2
Kempe
Carpenter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
49.6% (2,027)
-9.4%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
41.5% (41)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
43.9% (467)
-1.3%
On even strength, Carpenter has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Kempe is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Kempe shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Kempe
Carpenter
Home
42.4% (1,045)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Kempe
Carpenter
P1
39.5%
49.6%
P2
40.1%
47.7%
P3
42.2%
48.0%
OT
37.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
37.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 03:48 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 1, 2019 | 1 | 14:47 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 2 | 04:58 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 2 | 04:46 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |