Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +24.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 46.9% vs Carpenter 48.2% (-24.7%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 71.4%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 80.5%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 60.8%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Kempe
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
0.0% (6)
48.8% (404)
-48.8%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
100.0% (1)
-60.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
43.6% (101)
+6.4%
On power play, Carpenter has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Kempe is 25.0% vs right-shot opponents (4).
Kempe shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Kempe
Carpenter
Home
28.6% (7)
48.9% (274)
Away
16.7% (6)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Kempe
Carpenter
P1
25.0%
51.9%
P2
50.0%
49.4%
P3
0.0%
41.8%
Final 5 min
66.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
23.1%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%