Scouting Report
Seth Jarvis holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 23.8% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs Jarvis 46.8% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 55.5%
Defensive zone
Kempe 51.3%
Neutral zone
Kempe 54.3%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Kempe
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
32.7% (49)
37.5% (24)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On even strength, Jarvis has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Kempe is 23.8% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Kempe shoots left. Jarvis is 26.3% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Kempe
Jarvis
Home
11.1% (9)
38.5% (13)
Away
35.7% (42)
30.8% (13)
By Period
Kempe
Jarvis
P1
22.2%
40.0%
P2
33.3%
20.0%
P3
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
7.7%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
31.4%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
34.6%