Scouting Report
Seth Jarvis holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 24.1% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.7% vs Jarvis 46.8% (-6.6%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 55.0%
Defensive zone
Jarvis 51.2%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 52.8%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Kempe
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
44.2% (52)
-6.0%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
33.3% (6)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
40.0% (15)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Jarvis has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Kempe is 24.1% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Kempe shoots left. Jarvis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Kempe
Jarvis
Home
36.4% (66)
43.6% (39)
Away
35.5% (76)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Kempe
Jarvis
P1
37.3%
37.5%
P2
36.7%
48.3%
P3
31.4%
38.9%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
42.5%