Scouting Report
Seth Jarvis holds a +21.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 46.9% vs Jarvis 45.8% (-21.5%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 56.5%
Defensive zone
Jarvis 80.0%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 57.6%
Result
Seth Jarvis favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Kempe
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
0.0% (6)
46.2% (171)
-46.2%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
51.9% (54)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
39.4% (127)
+10.6%
On even strength, Jarvis has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Kempe is 25.0% vs right-shot opponents (4).
Kempe shoots left. Jarvis is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Kempe
Jarvis
Home
28.6% (7)
46.1% (204)
Away
16.7% (6)
42.6% (148)
By Period
Kempe
Jarvis
P1
25.0%
42.5%
P2
50.0%
42.9%
P3
0.0%
48.7%
Final 5 min
66.7%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
23.1%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
44.6%