Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 49.2% vs Jarvis 40.5% (+11.6%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 61.2%
Defensive zone
Kempe 54.9%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 52.2%
Result
Seth Jarvis favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Kempe
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (17)
32.1% (81)
+15.0%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
38.6% (57)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
28.6% (14)
+71.4%
On penalty kill, Kempe has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Kempe is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Kempe shoots left. Jarvis is 29.6% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Kempe
Jarvis
Home
38.5% (13)
40.6% (69)
Away
54.5% (11)
28.9% (83)
By Period
Kempe
Jarvis
P1
33.3%
30.9%
P2
42.9%
30.6%
P3
62.5%
47.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
28.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
45.8%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
34.2%