Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 46.5% vs Horvat 51.3% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 62.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 83.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 69.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Barkov
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Barkov
Horvat
Last 7: Barkov 5-2 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
1
Barkov
Horvat
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
1
Barkov
Horvat
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (856)
52.1% (743)
-5.7%
Power Play
45.0% (120)
51.9% (27)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
44.9% (78)
-2.6%
On power play, Horvat has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Barkov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Barkov shoots left. Horvat is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Home / Away
Barkov
Horvat
Home
46.7% (561)
53.1% (420)
Away
45.4% (441)
49.8% (428)
By Period
Barkov
Horvat
P1
46.6%
52.4%
P2
48.5%
49.3%
P3
43.2%
52.8%
OT
42.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
41.0%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
46.1%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2015 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 3 | 09:40 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 08:25 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 05:16 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 07:06 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 04:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |