Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Horvat 57.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 52.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 72.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 63.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Barkov
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Barkov
Horvat
Last 8: Barkov 5-3 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
1
Barkov
Horvat
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
1
Barkov
Horvat
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Horvat
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
58.6% (987)
-3.1%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
60.6% (251)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
45.7% (81)
+1.0%
On even strength, Horvat has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Barkov
Horvat
Home
56.4% (550)
59.2% (684)
Away
56.7% (476)
57.0% (635)
By Period
Barkov
Horvat
P1
56.5%
57.9%
P2
55.5%
55.4%
P3
57.9%
61.5%
OT
50.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
58.7%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:24 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 10:56 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |