Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Barkov wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Horvat 56.5% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 53.4%
Defensive zone
Barkov 56.2%
Neutral zone
Barkov 57.5%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Barkov
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Barkov
Horvat
Last 10: Barkov 3-7 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
5
Barkov
Horvat
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
4
2
Barkov
Horvat
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Barkov
Horvat
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
54.7% (1,126)
-1.6%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
67.0% (342)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
52.1% (217)
-1.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Barkov is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Barkov shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Home / Away
Barkov
Horvat
Home
58.1% (627)
59.8% (853)
Away
52.1% (705)
53.8% (832)
By Period
Barkov
Horvat
P1
53.3%
55.0%
P2
55.0%
58.3%
P3
56.0%
57.8%
OT
60.9%
44.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:55 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 05:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 02:12 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:47 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:18 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |