Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 57.0%). Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Barkov wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Horvat 56.6% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 51.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 55.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 53.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Barkov
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Barkov
Horvat
Last 9: Barkov 5-4 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
4
2
Barkov
Horvat
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Barkov
Horvat
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Horvat
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
55.6% (1,066)
+1.4%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
65.4% (289)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
49.2% (120)
-0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Barkov is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Barkov shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Home / Away
Barkov
Horvat
Home
59.2% (557)
58.8% (724)
Away
55.1% (695)
55.3% (751)
By Period
Barkov
Horvat
P1
56.7%
57.0%
P2
54.8%
57.5%
P3
59.7%
57.0%
OT
55.6%
36.4%
Final 5 min
59.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 00:25 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 17:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 03:40 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 06:24 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |