Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Horvat 53.7% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 58.4%
Defensive zone
Barkov 60.6%
Neutral zone
Barkov 51.3%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Barkov
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Barkov
Horvat
Last 10: Barkov 6-4 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
4
2
Barkov
Horvat
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Horvat
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Horvat
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
53.5% (1,071)
+3.4%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
56.3% (272)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
51.3% (76)
-6.1%
On power play, Barkov has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Home / Away
Barkov
Horvat
Home
57.4% (540)
54.2% (714)
Away
57.1% (560)
53.6% (705)
By Period
Barkov
Horvat
P1
57.6%
53.5%
P2
56.6%
56.3%
P3
56.9%
53.5%
OT
72.2%
28.6%
Final 5 min
57.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 27, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:07 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |