Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.0% vs Horvat 56.9% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 55.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 85.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 79.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 81.5%
18.5%
81.5%
Barkov
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Barkov
Horvat
Last 8: Barkov 7-1 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
0
Barkov
Horvat
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
4
1
Barkov
Horvat
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (851)
56.3% (1,134)
-3.7%
Power Play
60.8% (286)
64.3% (263)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (66)
49.4% (85)
-2.4%
On even strength, Horvat has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Barkov is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Barkov shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Barkov
Horvat
Home
54.4% (653)
57.3% (742)
Away
54.2% (550)
57.4% (741)
By Period
Barkov
Horvat
P1
52.7%
59.0%
P2
57.6%
59.7%
P3
53.2%
53.6%
OT
35.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
58.5%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 12:14 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 10:28 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 03:09 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 03:01 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |