Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Barkov wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Suzuki 49.6% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 69.6%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 68.1%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 67.1%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Barkov
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Barkov
Suzuki
Last 10: Barkov 4-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Barkov
Suzuki
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
5
Barkov
Suzuki
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
50.3% (1,075)
+6.7%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
49.3% (219)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
43.1% (116)
+5.2%
On power play, Barkov has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Barkov is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Barkov shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Home / Away
Barkov
Suzuki
Home
59.2% (557)
53.6% (711)
Away
55.1% (695)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Barkov
Suzuki
P1
56.7%
48.5%
P2
54.8%
51.7%
P3
59.7%
49.0%
OT
55.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
59.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 10:28 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 06:04 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 13:04 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 11:18 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 08:39 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 15:53 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |