Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Barkov wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Suzuki 52.4% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 19-15 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 52.5%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 53.1%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 53.7%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Barkov
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
15
(34 meetings)
19
15
Barkov
Suzuki
Last 10: Barkov 7-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
7
9
Barkov
Suzuki
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
6
3
Barkov
Suzuki
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
6
3
Barkov
Suzuki
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
51.3% (1,096)
+5.6%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
59.9% (157)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
56.9% (58)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Barkov is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Barkov shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Barkov
Suzuki
Home
57.4% (540)
54.2% (638)
Away
57.1% (560)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Barkov
Suzuki
P1
57.6%
51.5%
P2
56.6%
53.3%
P3
56.9%
52.4%
OT
72.2%
58.3%
Final 5 min
57.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 19:29 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 15:56 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 12:55 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 29, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 15:53 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |