Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Barkov wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 25-13 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 78.7%
Defensive zone
Barkov 89.8%
Neutral zone
Barkov 78.0%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Barkov
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
13
(38 meetings)
25
13
Barkov
Suzuki
Last 10: Barkov 7-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
9
4
Barkov
Suzuki
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
7
1
Barkov
Suzuki
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
9
8
Barkov
Suzuki
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
47.0% (1,066)
+6.1%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
49.5% (204)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
46.6% (131)
+4.2%
On power play, Barkov has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Barkov is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Barkov shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Barkov
Suzuki
Home
58.1% (627)
49.4% (686)
Away
52.1% (705)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Barkov
Suzuki
P1
53.3%
45.6%
P2
55.0%
46.9%
P3
56.0%
49.8%
OT
60.9%
38.1%
Final 5 min
55.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 11:42 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:26 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:11 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |