Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Barkov wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Suzuki 51.5% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 19-15 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 66.3%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 60.2%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 63.4%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Barkov
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
19
(34 meetings)
15
19
Barkov
Suzuki
Last 10: Barkov 3-7 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
6
Barkov
Suzuki
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
7
4
Barkov
Suzuki
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
6
9
Barkov
Suzuki
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
52.4% (981)
+3.1%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
50.7% (304)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
36.4% (33)
+10.3%
On power play, Barkov has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Barkov is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Barkov shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Barkov
Suzuki
Home
56.4% (550)
53.2% (645)
Away
56.7% (476)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Barkov
Suzuki
P1
56.5%
48.9%
P2
55.5%
51.5%
P3
57.9%
54.9%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 12:24 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:27 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:05 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:58 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 10:37 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:15 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 01:50 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:24 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:25 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |