Aleksander Barkov vs Noah Cates
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 17 meetings). Barkov wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Cates 43.2% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 23-11 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 98.2%
Defensive zone
Barkov 88.7%
Neutral zone
Barkov 91.4%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 94.3%
94.3%
5.7%
Barkov
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
11
(34 meetings)
23
11
Barkov
Cates
Last 10: Barkov 7-3 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
16
1
Barkov
Cates
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
2
5
Barkov
Cates
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Barkov
Cates
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
44.1% (2,742)
+8.3%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
43.0% (242)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
34.9% (373)
+12.9%
On power play, Barkov has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Barkov is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,144).
Barkov shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,284).
Home / Away
Barkov
Cates
Home
53.8% (7,227)
43.8% (1,663)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
42.1% (1,694)
By Period
Barkov
Cates
P1
52.7%
44.5%
P2
53.4%
43.5%
P3
52.9%
41.2%
OT
53.0%
29.4%
Final 5 min
54.5%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:51 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:47 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:26 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |