Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Cates 45.8% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 79.3%
Defensive zone
Barkov 56.0%
Neutral zone
Barkov 56.9%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Barkov
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Barkov
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
44.3% (271)
+12.6%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
77.8% (18)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
31.7% (41)
+13.5%
On power play, Cates has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Barkov
Cates
Home
57.4% (540)
52.0% (148)
Away
57.1% (560)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Barkov
Cates
P1
57.6%
42.7%
P2
56.6%
42.9%
P3
56.9%
48.5%
Final 5 min
57.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |