Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +56.9% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Cates 46.7% (+56.9%)
Offensive zone
Barkov 52.9%
Defensive zone
Barkov 70.6%
Neutral zone
Barkov 50.7%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Barkov
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
0.0% (6)
+57.0%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
0.0% (1)
+48.3%
On even strength, Barkov has a +57.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Barkov is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Barkov shoots left. Cates is 0.0% vs left-shot opponents (3).
Home / Away
Barkov
Cates
Home
59.2% (557)
0.0% (5)
Away
55.1% (695)
0.0% (2)
By Period
Barkov
Cates
P1
56.7%
0.0%
P2
54.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
0.0%