Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.4% vs Hintz 49.4% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 51.7%
Defensive zone
Hintz 58.3%
Neutral zone
Hintz 57.7%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Barkov
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Barkov
Hintz
Last 5: Barkov 2-3 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Barkov
Hintz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Hintz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (724)
47.8% (383)
+5.2%
Power Play
62.6% (235)
55.8% (43)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (67)
55.8% (43)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Barkov is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (678).
Barkov shoots left. Hintz is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Barkov
Hintz
Home
56.1% (522)
51.6% (248)
Away
53.6% (504)
46.6% (221)
By Period
Barkov
Hintz
P1
52.3%
49.3%
P2
56.8%
53.2%
P3
55.3%
44.9%
OT
55.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |