Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Hintz 55.3% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 50.4%
Defensive zone
Hintz 52.9%
Neutral zone
Hintz 53.2%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Barkov
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Barkov
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Barkov
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
56.3% (512)
+0.6%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
63.3% (30)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
45.8% (24)
-0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. Hintz is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Barkov
Hintz
Home
57.4% (540)
57.3% (262)
Away
57.1% (560)
55.3% (304)
By Period
Barkov
Hintz
P1
57.6%
54.8%
P2
56.6%
56.0%
P3
56.9%
57.5%
OT
72.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:40 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 04:02 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |