Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Hintz 51.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 58.5%
Defensive zone
Barkov 67.5%
Neutral zone
Barkov 53.3%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Barkov
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Barkov
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
52.6% (439)
+0.5%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
37.9% (29)
+25.5%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
63.6% (11)
-12.8%
On power play, Barkov has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Barkov is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Barkov shoots left. Hintz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Barkov
Hintz
Home
58.1% (627)
53.5% (256)
Away
52.1% (705)
50.2% (223)
By Period
Barkov
Hintz
P1
53.3%
59.5%
P2
55.0%
49.2%
P3
56.0%
47.1%
OT
60.9%
62.5%
Final 5 min
55.5%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |