Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Hintz 53.5% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 66.8%
Defensive zone
Hintz 68.0%
Neutral zone
Barkov 54.1%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Barkov
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Barkov
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
1
Barkov
Hintz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
53.6% (711)
+1.9%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
53.8% (93)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
58.7% (46)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Hintz is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (518).
Home / Away
Barkov
Hintz
Home
56.4% (550)
52.6% (460)
Away
56.7% (476)
55.4% (390)
By Period
Barkov
Hintz
P1
56.5%
59.0%
P2
55.5%
52.7%
P3
57.9%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 02:31 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |